Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 24.290057 28.112399 32.270940 37.122244 42.616885 48.637381 55.723663
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.666970 22.859093 29.074726 37.019870 46.857262 58.585586 73.569638
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 13.389327 18.958683 26.155338 36.038305 49.143664 65.797621 88.412489
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.870435 16.607814 24.510036 36.021269 52.158052 73.736840 104.483818
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.138827 14.932237 23.370244 36.305245 55.319205 81.863696 121.238235
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.224929 12.608076 20.886141 34.213334 54.707126 84.498884 130.377581
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.442247 11.887952 20.654167 35.355660 58.819456 94.075923 150.045988
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.938323 11.528574 20.906818 37.220078 64.129455 105.757641 173.622807
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.039448 10.328350 19.598265 36.354683 64.962303 110.571409 186.987253
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.168185 9.025566 17.923193 34.635645 64.156514 112.635977 196.058496
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.985452 9.004528 18.515216 36.909049 70.247503 126.227912 224.499038
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.962768 9.295431 19.705441 40.358499 78.636996 144.157830 261.164512
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.538052 8.721089 19.242518 40.823167 81.996364 154.238498 286.118288
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.054691 7.942828 18.289614 40.275248 83.520810 161.391141 306.840277
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.591015 7.117092 17.114979 39.131720 83.784683 166.292995 323.946085
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.286614 6.606404 16.528093 39.096403 86.147150 175.118710 348.594945
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.047670 6.209638 16.130501 39.398568 89.179836 185.367844 376.473145
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.677686 5.391794 14.645129 37.146532 86.770374 185.095823 384.753608
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.562310 5.242881 14.717304 38.375915 91.718930 199.358736 421.398031
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.497794 5.226405 15.110122 40.381960 98.491774 217.654703 466.894086
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.296113 4.760064 14.299777 39.450906 98.762661 222.926360 487.259346
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.083208 4.206660 13.172126 37.600948 96.784966 223.427598 498.130068
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.064836 4.279506 13.742628 40.047347 104.820869 245.259122 553.312553